It is not difficult to predict that, in the near future, Imran Khan may not play any significant role in Pakistan’s politics. The primary reason is the strong opposition he faces from the country’s powerful establishment, stemming from both his past statements and his political actions.
The events of May 9 marked a major turning point. On that day, under the alleged instructions of PTI leadership, hundreds of party workers gathered and chanted slogans against the Pakistan Army and the establishment. The demonstrations escalated into violent attacks, with military buildings, the Corps Commander’s House, air force installations, and other government properties being damaged. According to official investigations, the purpose of these actions was to bring about a forceful revolution in the country. It was claimed that the mob, under PTI leaders, sought to change the military leadership—particularly targeting the then-Chief of Army Staff, General Asim Munir (now Field Marshal).
The protests were also seen as an attempt to incite rebellion within the military ranks. Reports suggest that some senior army officers were suspected of sympathizing with this movement. In the aftermath, the military dismissed several high-ranking officials, including the Corps Commander of Lahore.
In my view, after May 9, a decision was made by both the military and civil policymakers that Imran Khan would have no place in the country’s future political landscape. However, there was one major challenge—his immense popularity among the public. This popularity, ironically, had been built over years with significant support from the same establishment, which had spent considerable resources to craft his public image as a credible and charismatic leader.
In recent months, the establishment has moved to dismantle that image. Multiple corruption cases have been filed against Imran Khan, his wife Bushra Bibi, and senior PTI leaders. Even a controversial iddah case has been pursued against the couple. In some cases, lower courts have already handed down sentences, and while appeals are underway in higher courts, it appears unlikely that he will receive relief.
With political parties across the spectrum and the establishment united in their opposition, it seems improbable that Imran Khan will return to power. For now, his role in Pakistan’s future politics appears to be all but over.
- Role of Imran Khan in Pakistan’s Future Politics - 25/08/2025
